The buzz around the New England weather community has taken an uptick overnight, as anyone who keeps an eye on stormy weather is turning their attention to tomorrow afternoon. There is the potential for scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening across Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and extreme Northwest Rhode Island. At this point, Central and Western Massachusetts have a slightly higher potential for severe weather than the rest of the area. (Are you excited yet?) Damaging winds, large hail and poor drainage flooding are the main threats, but there does exist the potential for an isolated tornado or two.
The threat will be contingent on any cloud debris from any shower and thunderstorm activity that occurs Tuesday morning and how much destabilization occurs. Many other parameters look quite favorable for severe weather potential including very strong wind shear profiles. Although this is the most favorable severe weather setup modeled for the spring/summer 2015 season (so far), keep in mind that predicting severe weather threats 36-48 hours in advance - particularly in Southern New England – is more difficult than predicting nor'easter and other major storm events.
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