Monday, February 3, 2014

What's with the snow/sleet projections?

NECN snowfall forecast map (released earlier today)
Although our local TV weather forecasters continue to talk about Wednesday's snowstorm having a mix of snow/sleet, that just doesn't look to be the case around Amherst (yes, I'm going out on a limb, I know). Just to be clear, I'm looking at the computer models and reading NOAA's long-range weather forecast discussion, so this is not just a hunch. While southeastern parts of New England, including CT, RI, and MA will likely see the snow mix with sleet, and in some southern areas even rain, that's not us. (And therein is the challenge of watching forecasts for a wide area.) In fact, if anything, as we get closer to this storm, our snowfall amounts are inching up and the projections are for colder temps, not warmer. I still maintain that we can expect a solid 6-12 inches (and probably on the higher end of that). Time will tell, but at this moment anyway, the computer models are in good agreement. Milk and bread day tomorrow, and get your shovels ready!

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