Thursday, February 13, 2014

Amherst Forecast and Wishful Thinking


Hey, it's snowing! The forecast hasn't changed much since yesterday, with Amherst poised between two somewhat different possibilities. Either we will experience an all snow event (with 12-16" of accumulation) or we will get 6-12" of mostly snow with a change-over during some part of the afternoon or early evening to sleet and/or freezing rain (and possible ice accumulations of a 1-2 tenths of an inch). Areas well south and east of us are almost certainly going to see ice, and more of it. I know which scenario I'd prefer: no ice! Winds may gust to 35-40 MPH across the region. Keep in mind that the snow kicks back up tonight, so just when you think it's over, we could get 2-4 more inches of snow overnight. When all's said and done, I'm going to predict that we'll get somewhere around 8-12 inches (maybe as much as 14"?) with some brief change-over to sleet this afternoon. But that may just be wishful thinking - no way I want any amount of ice/wind/power outages, which is something 500,000 households in the Southeast are experiencing right now.  (And I'm betting a few of you still feel a creeping panic when you remember Halloween 2011). Stay safe everyone, and don't drive if you don't have to.

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