Monday, December 30, 2013

First major snowstorm of 2014 on its way... maybe!

Snowstorm at midnight - State Street, Amherst MA (2013)
Photo by Joshua Wolfsun
Update as of Tuesday, 12/31/2013, 5:57 AM: Having gone out on that proverbial limb to predict our getting lots o' snow (potentially) on Thursday into Friday (see below), let me also be the first to note that the most recent models tend to be taking the system further off shore, which would mean less snow for us and more for the coast. There's a storm, for sure, but whether it will dance over us is more the question.

We've already had plowable snow twice this season, but if the computer models have it right, our first storm of 2014 is going to be a memorable one. We're still three days out from Thursday, when the snow will be starting, but even now the GFS and Euro computer models have begun to align, particularly in terms of what we can expect around here in Hampshire County (and the surrounding areas). And that is, essentially, a significant amout of snow - as much as 12-18 inches by the time things wind up on Friday! Though there's still some uncertainty about the impact of this storm on coastal areas and other parts of New England, our region appears to be pretty solidly in the center of the action this time around. Right now, it looks like the snow will start around mid-morning to early afternoon on Thursday, although the heavy snows won't arrive until late Thursday continuing through much of the day on Friday. This will be a long duration storm, with plowable snow and very cold temperatures (so no chance of any kind of precipitation but snow). Things could change (we still have a number of days to watch things develop), but even Matt Noyes, NECN meterological guru, wrote just today, "High-end guidance supports a couple of feet for much of New England in an all-out blizzard." Which is just fancy speak for it's possible we could have an all-out blizzard around hereSo when you're out and about tomorrow preparing for your New Year's Eve festivities, don't forget the bread and milk along with the champagne and chocolates. Have a wonderful New Year, and keep those shovels handy!

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