THE WEEKEND... ALL EYES CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL COASTAL STORM THAT
MAY IMPACT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS AWAY...IT IS
EERIE THAT ALL MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW THIS SYSTEM
AND THAT THEY ARE FAIRLY CLOSE IN EXACT PLACEMENT/LOCATION/
TIMING. EVEN LOOKING AT THE ENSEMBLES THEY ARE IN EXCELLENT
AGREEMENT AS WELL...THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT
A SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM IS POSSIBLE. BOTH THE GFS/EC TRACK THE SYSTEM ACROSS THE BENCHMARK WITH
THE GFS BEING A TAD MORE ROBUST. REGARDLESS...IT APPEARS THAT
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INTERIOR. STILL TO
HARD TO SAY HOW MUCH AT THIS TIME AS THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM
CAN STILL WOBBLE. BELIEVE THAT THERE WILL BE SOME MIXING ACROSS
THE COAST AND COASTAL PLAIN...BUT AGAIN THIS CAN CHANGE
DEPENDING ON EXACT TEMPS. BELIEVE MODELS ARE TOO WARM IN
THEIR 2M TEMPS AS DYNAMIC COOLING WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR. EVEN
THOUGH MIXING/RAIN WILL OCCUR ON THE COAST/COASTAL PLAIN...AS
THE SYSTEM EXITS ON SUNDAY...THE MID LEVEL DEFORMATION ZONE
COMBINED WITH THE COLD CONVEYOR BELT WILL ALLOW FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOWFALL. CANNOT RULE OUT HEAVY WET SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES
OF OVER 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT THIS TIME. TREE LIMBS AND POWER
LINES ARE AT RISK IF THIS HEAVY WET SNOW COMES INTO FRUITION.
AGAIN THESE ARE ALL POSSIBILITIES IF THE CURRENT TRACK OF THIS
SYSTEM CONTINUES...YET WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THE TRACK
SHIFTS. COASTAL FLOODING RISK IS INCREASING AS IT APPEARS THAT
THERE WILL BE A PROLONGED EASTERLY FLOW. MORE DETAILS BELOW.
AGAIN THIS SYSTEM IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS OUT...BUT HAVE
INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL BE
IMPACTED BY THIS SYSTEM. STAY TUNE FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.
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